Research Areas

Global Burden of Disease
Understanding the extent and causes of death and disability and the risk factors that cause them is essential for priority setting and program evaluation nationally and globally. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington is facilitating this complex and challenging task, nowadays known as the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD). We work closely with IHME to produce accurate, up-to-date burden of disease assessments at the national, subnational, and global levels and to improve the sophisticated methodology underlying this process.
  • COVID-19 Excess Mortality Collaborators (including Nomura S). Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020-21. The Lancet. 2022; 399(10334): 1513-36.

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  • COVID-19 Cumulative Infection Collaborators (including Nomura S). Estimating global, regional, and national daily and cumulative infections with SARS-CoV-2 through Nov 14, 2021: a statistical analysis. The Lancet. 2022 Jun 25;399(10344):2351-2380.

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  • GBD 2019 Ageing Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global, regional, and national burden of diseases and injuries for adults 70 years and older: systematic analysis for the global burden of disease 2019 study. BMJ. 2022; 376: e068208.

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  • COVID-19 Forecasting Team (including Nomura S). Variation in the COVID-19 infection-fatality ratio by age, time, and geography during the pre-vaccine era: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 2022; 399(10334): 1469-88.

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  • Liu Xi, Wang F, Yu C, Zhou M, Yu Y, Qi J, Yin P, Yu S, Zhou Y, Lin L, Liu Y, Wang Q, Zhong W, Huang S, Li Y, Liu L, Liu Y, Ma F, Zhang Y, Tian Y, Yu Q, Zeng J, Pan J, Zhou M, Kang W, Zhou J, Yu H, Liu Y, Li S, Yu H, Wang C, Xia T, Xi J, Ren X, Xing X, Cheng Q, Fei F, Wang D, Zhang S, He Y, Meng R, Cao J, Wen H, Shi F, Wang Y, Sun P, Liu Y, Bai J, Wang X, Shen H, Zhang Y, Guo Y, Yan Y, Zhang W, Ke S, Zhang R, Wang D, Zhang T, Nomura S, Salomon JA, Haagsma JA, Vos T. Eliciting national and subnational sets of disability weights in mainland China: findings from the Chinese disability weight measurement study. The Lancet Regional Health – Western Pacific. 2022; 26: 100520.

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  • Global Burden of Disease Long COVID Collaborators (including Nomura S). Estimated global proportions of individuals with persistent fatigue, cognitive, and respiratory symptom clusters following symptomatic COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021. JAMA. 2022; 328(16): 1604-15.

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  • Taniguchi H, Rahman MM, Swe KT, Islam MR, Rahman MS, Parsell N, Hussain A, Shibuya K, Hashizume M. Equity and determinants in universal health coverage indicators in Iraq, 2000-2030: a national and subnational study. Int J Equity Health. 2021 Aug 30;20(1):196.

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  • COVID-19 Mental Disorders Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global prevalence and burden of depressive and anxiety disorders in 204 countries and territories in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Lancet. 2021; 398(10312): 1700-12.

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  • GBD 2019 Adolescent Mortality Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global, regional, and national mortality among young people aged 10-24 years, 1950-2019: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. The Lancet. 2021; 398(10311): 1593-618.

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  • GBD 2019 Under-5 Mortality Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global, regional, and national progress towards sustainable development goal 3.2 for neonatal and child health: all-cause and cause-specific mortality findings from the global burden of disease study 2019. The Lancet. 2021; 398(10303): 870-905.

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  • Nomura S, Yamamoto Y, Yoneoka D, Haagsma JA, Salomon JA, Ueda P, Mori R, Santomauro D, Vos T, Shibuya K. How do Japanese rate the severity of different diseases and injuries? - an assessment of disability weights for 231 health states by 37,318 Japanese respondents. Population Health Metrics. 2021; 19(1): 21.

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  • Global Burden of Disease 2020 Health Financing Collaborator Network (including Nomura S). Tracking development assistance for health and for COVID-19: a review of development assistance, government, out-of-pocket, and other private spending on health for 204 countries and territories, 1990-2050. The Lancet. 2021; 398(10308): 1317-43.

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  • GBD 2019 Viewpoint Collaborators (including Nomura S). Five insights from the global burden of disease study 2019. The Lancet. 2020; 396(10258): 1135-59.

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  • GBD 2019 Demographics Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (hale), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. The Lancet. 2020; 396(10258): 1160-203.

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  • GBD 2019 Risk Factors Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. The Lancet. 2020; 396(10258): 1223-49.

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  • GBD 2019 Diseases and Injuries Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. The Lancet. 2020; 396(10258): 1204-22.

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  • GBD 2019 Universal Health Coverage Collaborators (including Nomura S). Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. The Lancet. 2020; 396(10258): 1250-84.

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  • GBD 2017 Mortality Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. The Lancet. 2018; 392(10159): 1684-735.

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  • GBD 2017 Causes of Death Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. The Lancet. 2018; 392(10159): 1736-88.

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  • GBD 2017 Risk Factor Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 2018; 392(10159): 1923-94.

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  • GBD 2017 DALYs and HALE Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (dalys) for 359 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (hale) for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. The Lancet. 2018; 392(10159): 1859-922.

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  • GBD 2017 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators (including Nomura S). Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. The Lancet. 2018; 392(10159): 1789-858.

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  • GBD 2017 Population and Fertility Collaborators (including Nomura S). Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global burden of disease study 2017. The Lancet. 2018; 392(10159): 1995-2051.

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  • Nomura S, Sakamoto H, Glenn S, Tsugawa Y, Abe SK, Rahman MM, Brown JC, Ezoe S, Fitzmaurice C, Inokuchi T, Kassebaum NJ, Kawakami N, Kita Y, Kondo N, Lim SS, Maruyama S, Miyata H, Mooney MD, Naghavi M, Onoda T, Ota E, Otake Y, Roth GA, Saito E, Tabuchi T, Takasaki Y, Tanimura T, Uechi M, Vos T, Wang H, Inoue M, Murray CJL, Shibuya K. Population health and regional variations of disease burden in Japan, 1990-2015: a systematic subnational analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2017; 390(10101): 1521-38.

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